Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Create Trouble | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miacomet | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oviatt Class | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guanare | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Junior Bug | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Born Flawless | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Show Time | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tizmarkus | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ultimate Strike | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brave Blend | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Sharpens Iron | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Acknowledge | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tango Mike Mike | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amy Z | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Miracle | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nursekringledances | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Appealing Addie | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pat’schromecompass | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lotta Lissa | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Star | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Life Advice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sassy Princess | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Waves | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Malibu Smart | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Likely Perspective (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faith Understood | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Annelle | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purring | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Quarry | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Itwillbefun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Little Blaze | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | De’ Ans Eighty | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mercy Warren | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Punchy Girl | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Sister Sue | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Cruella | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marshmallow Queen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Princess Is Olivia | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Worker | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pinfire | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great Richie M | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B Sudd | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pair of Socks | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Haunted Flame | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He’s Elusive | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Chill | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Northern Invader | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Out of Deductions | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miranda Rights | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skyro | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | What Say Thee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tall Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Noises Off | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Son of a Birch | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | West Hollywood | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Higgins Boat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Herchee | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Crosstown Shootout | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peruvian Lucky | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bright Leaf | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Pocket | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Business Model | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Queens Jules | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sittin On Go | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Pursuit | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Franco | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Improbable Story | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.