Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Drama | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Belle | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mine Strike | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ifyousaidso | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spotlight Girl | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dakota’s Lil Auror | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chabelita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Make Your Wish | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Meet Me in the Air | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | D’argento Bolt | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beentee | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starlight Luna | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coda Mia | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charity First | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Power Party | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | I Love Ireland | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ball Up Top | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spun to Purfection | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starship Kit Kat | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Curlina Star | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Channel’s Daughter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Terrie T | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grand Sticker | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Evanora | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trumpetta | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Edge of Freedom | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Happy Holiday | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tourist Style | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holder Close | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gatsby | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peace Not War | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tshiebwe | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arrogancy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saybrook | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alarik (CHI) | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Derby Hangover | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ihaveissues | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roxy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curling Rose | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pittaluga | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prism Pool Pat | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Buzz | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gamay | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tapit Smiles | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kosher Capone | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trophy Collector | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreams of Myfather | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Song So Sweet | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Prince | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Centerfold Guy | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ruleroftheuniverse | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Actually | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lisca Bianca | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brisa Veloz | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valiant Hope | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Dessert | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Militia | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violence and Peace | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lido Beach | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Great Date | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kalik | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lights of Broadway | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Samburu (GB) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carentan | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Moly Moses | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold N Breezy | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hartsbeatlikthundr | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Speed Runner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tigre | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock N Roll Bolt | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coercive | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sticky McShnickens | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Empire | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mackor | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sneaky Sneaky | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Bucchero | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Fixer | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.