Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ready for Trouble |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dealing Justice |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Always Angels |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Candy Lover |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sweet Alyssa |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Angel Kiss |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Essential Coffee |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
A Rose for Skyler |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Red Drapes |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Girl Named Knicki |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sapphire Beach (IRE) |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Love a Little Mo |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
She’s On a Roll |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Trouble’s Roaring |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Litigation |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blast Furnace |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Rog |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cortina (IRE) |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Leading Role |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gas Alley |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Frankie’s Boy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Billy White Shoes (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Honorary American (IRE) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Daring Hope |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Troubler |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Amelia’s Echo |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Innocent Nyght |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cocktail Humor |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hard to Get |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Party Pauline |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nola Louise |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Pace Yourself |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiz My Hero |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Geno’s Myth |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mellifluous |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Guardian |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tuscany’s Eagle |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Venik |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spy |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Did It Dialed |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Top Gun Girl |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Caldwell Luvs Gold |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cat’s Cave |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pigalle |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Iheartrainacomn |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Effortlesslyelgant |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Lady Moscato |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Harbor Springs |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Candy Bar |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Classy’n Connected |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Nosleeptilbrooklyn |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
Bette Davis |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Promisemeanempire |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lord I Wonder |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hold My Halo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Heart Spin |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Lady of Power |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Expatriate |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Indy’s Halo |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Always Forever |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Storm Miami (IRE) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Dulce Despertar (ARG) |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Normandy Queen |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tripolina |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zadorsky |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gila |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Catmint |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Secret Statement |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Marmalade Skye |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Bourbon Breeze |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Funnyflame |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mega Magic |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Good Bali |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Consecrated |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chris’s Revenge |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Publicity |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
House United |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Baytown Bruiser |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
14 |
14 |
Decanted |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Game Point |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Gamblin George |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Ngannou |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Governing Party |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Dairago (FR) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.