Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awesomely Wild | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Enough | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Repaynt | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Spice | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Claudia | 1.40 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Future Fortune | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fully Entitled | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Belle of the South | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | R Wins Aren’t Luck | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orquidea Real | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inallprobability | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Adjust My Halo | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Derbytime D | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ilithyia | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vanessa’s Wish | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Plum Irish | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Done Dirt Cheap | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Collective Nation | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Replevin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Woodspoint | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sneak Preview | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | How About It | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Habana Boy | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Dancer | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Acquisitive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Skellig Michael | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amy the Butcher | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Jenny | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Defended | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Motown Mika | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Dreamer | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star of Saturn | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Otto | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Spearman | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mintenon | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Answer | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lukas Prince | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Selecto | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frisson | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Star of the Beast | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rachels Song | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bedrock Birdie | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Verifiable | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nina’s Last Gift | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burnaway | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atalanta Alexandra | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Khoz | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miguel’s Belle | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patty’s Having Fun | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Hot Spark | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foxy Lady | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prospective Forum | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Band of Roses | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Only Words | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Madness | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Captain Cajun | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Maverick | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strengthnguidance | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lawler | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Divo d’Oro | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Back Em Up | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Loyal Clement | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crafty Collector | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anacapri | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Claret | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Money Trail | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bubbles Up | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonscape | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Worth Considering | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Losecontrol | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.