Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Absolute Chaos | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hunters Ghost | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You Vee Cee | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wheeler Dealer | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drill’s Li’l Man | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northwind | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mischelof (CHI) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beau Day | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool and Cloudy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cravensworth | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Running Bayou | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justify’s Magic | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Won Happy Mama | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shezawildstorm | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gisele’s Map | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shemeansbizness | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C’Mon Lucky | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Rose | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Justastrollin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Am Lowkey | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mc Cougar | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Macho Forty Five | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Singh | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Milton Street | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Temple City Run | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Kinda Trouble | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin’s Lil Gal | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Swede | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Maybelenne | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sing Lucy Sing | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Milliganmikeandme | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scoot Along | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Go Otto Go | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Fire Run | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kosari | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fleet of Flags | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dagger Ranch | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friendly Spirit | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Okie Clipper | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Bob Bryant S.) – Bob Bryant S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kanojo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skyboom | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sayucan | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glad Von D | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset for Sandra | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unspoken Truth | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Templar Red | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sorcerer’s Girl | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Undecoded | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayleywick | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tom’s Girl | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Xcaret | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeri Dawn | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.