Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Glassheart |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Queen Bay |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Can You Dream |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Two Mountains |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Baby Needs Shoes |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Copper Luna |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Chollima |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tessa (GB) |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Auditory |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rose of Jericho |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Honorable Gal |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Roman Empress |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Roses R Blue |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Faithful Truth |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Baldoro |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kawazaki (IRE) |
1.20 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
American Empire |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Silent Heat |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smooth Salute |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Charmed Dream |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Go Cami Oh |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jazz Spot |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
A. P’s Lucky Charm |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oscar Night |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cooling Off |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Firecracker Molly |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Johann’s Candy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Velvet Dream |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cara Rose |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
La Ville Lumiere |
1.20 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jasmina |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Aguila Azul |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Got the Ring |
2.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Pratchett |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cupid’s Crusader |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
James J. Braddock |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
General Jackson |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
El Ondeado |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spiritist |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
I Am Amadeo |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
My Ransom |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Distant Fleet |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Magic Account |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zombo Bombo |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tizz a Good Thing |
20.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Havoc |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gavea |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Harcyn |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Navy Man |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blue Cheese Olive |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Halo Uncle |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Margarita Girl |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wishtheyallcouldbe |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shining Star (CHI) |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Entrepreneurship |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scary Fast Ride |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Maximun Gold |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Big Pop |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sugar Hi |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Inner Fury (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nakota (IRE) |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tavolara |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ready to Dare |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flamengo’s Queen (IRE) |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Lollipop |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ionian Gem |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sexzie |
6.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cause I’m Perfect |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.