Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Camigol | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Express Lane | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Win N Win | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fourth and Central | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Il Vagabundo | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beybe Beto | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Universal Legend | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just a Tease | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mamuka | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tinta Roja | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Para Siempre | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pocket Pair | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Triguena | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Country Economics | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Victory | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Effort | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s Gone Rogue | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ave Fenix | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gulfstream Mary D | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pet Mat | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Down the Islands | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yemrehanakristos | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Triumphant Road | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamic Empire | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gemstone Warrior | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Empire | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mohawk River | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blazing Hot | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fourty Four | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Relentless Raider | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lao Way | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valiant Package | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Eight | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kharif | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lieutenantseveride | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Hans | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Striker | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Frolic | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honesto | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Belly of Jelly | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock the Stars | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Castagno | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ironsides | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Game Face S.) – Game Face S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Win N Your In | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unchained Elaine | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Andrea | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nerazurri | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unshakable | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Luvumorgan | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Costa Amalfitana | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cash the Money | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paris Surprise | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shace Sloane | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Inherent Promise | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Social Majesty | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Street | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Positive Energy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Santorino | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Culpa | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lynn’s Milky Way | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Julee’s Legacy | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sin for a Season | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Hazely | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rumours Have It | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Dove Rules | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Girvin’s Princess | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Edith | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be Thankful | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Any Moment | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kip the Distance | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vivi Get Your Guns | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pop Rox | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prayed for Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Get the Win | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Koutoubia | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Timely Reward | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Olaf Rose | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Both Sides | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Laura | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Major Pryce | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Puckered | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Double Cosmo Girl | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paleo’s Princess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Powder Break S.) – Powder Break S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Candy Gray | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing N Dixie | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | De Regreso | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Venezuela | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lets Go Koko | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sensitivity | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Agenda | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Cha Cha | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chick’s Shadow | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fantasy Performer | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tape Runner | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.