Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Gray’s Lake S.) – Gray’s Lake S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jack’s Time | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amorosa | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can Do Andrew | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Five Charlie | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Multifactor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Edge | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maui Mistress | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blame Nellie | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Denises Dolly | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Moon River | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Bella Bella | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | One Way Or Another | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chica Arma | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Travelin Witch | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toffee | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Dancer | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie Mike | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Macho Ronnie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | K C Rocket | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prints Money | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goddess of War | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marquee Thunder | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glamorous Life | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky’s Secret | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dreaminonthenile | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Espiridion | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hop Away Hottie | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luckyhotstuff | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peggy Rules | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Annieway U Want It | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Firebaugh | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Selinus | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Denada | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Line Runner | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lottery Ticket | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Wilhelmina | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Now We Go | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Bowring | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quintessentiallady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hit Scene | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forthelonghaul | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devious Lover | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Big Haas | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Determined Lover | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aux Arcs | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stunning Bruno | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hasty Flyer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Surprise | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Rhyme Or Reason | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stella Bella | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Addy Up | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie One | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Promised Oath | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Hot Foot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Eventuality | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Ember | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.