Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lean Music Machine | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Incursion | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Redeposit | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beechmont | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Snoop | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Franklin Wilder | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cocktails N Dreams | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Araucano | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Graydaria | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Search | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colorado Cruiser | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm the Streets | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Andy’s Candy | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quebrancho | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pupil | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shake and Rattle | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sleepingonfreedom | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Geole | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duke of Suggins | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gold Perl | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Dodgy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo’ Em Down | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nonstop Vino | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bobrovsky | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dirty Rich | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kid Twist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cannoneer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Il Sorpasso | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Macchiato | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Comport | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Password | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Very Quiet | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Opus Uno | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Forty Twenty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | La Norme de Jour | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spurgeon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Survivor | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Levitating | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Niko | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Raising Kane | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pop Paul | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Batter Up | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Straightaway | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Litigator | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rocky Joy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sicilian Defense | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Multitask | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gilded Craken | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brown Liquor Man | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unleash the Power | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Spirit | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Warhol | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Decanted | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Direct Channel | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noahs Ark | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flamingproposition | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Most Wanted | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kupuna | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Katonah | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Accretive | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Money Supply | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Full Screen | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Actor | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emmanuel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hypnus | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shangrala Road | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pursuitneversleeps | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hymn | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pretty Capable | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Curvino | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stiglets | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fountain Lake | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Show of Force | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hedge | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stonehenge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Varney | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sippin On Gin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Old Forester Mint Julep S.) – Old Forester Mint Julep S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Venencia (FR) | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pin Up Betty | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charlene’s Dream | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Movin’ On Up | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serene Seraph (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Deep Satin | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No Mo Candy | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Duvet Day (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gavea (GER) | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adrasteia | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neon Icon | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kalahari Dreams | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lifes Reward | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Privman | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crystal Hill | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnite in Finley | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shallus | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Milyarder | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ritual | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fly Guy Mick | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.