Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Formulate | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chill the J | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Murabeh | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Win With Faith | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emmett | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tepeyac | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giftedbydesign | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gimme Some Luck | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burn It All | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fluffy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pigeon Cay | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Final Note | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Astrology | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Game Winning Pass | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dawn’s Mist | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arroyadora | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Deb’s Sea Breeze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wannabeeloved | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Boy Jak | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Cruiser | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dimanche Gras | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roscoe Pine | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tempo Ride | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always True | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bold N Breezy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Senor Money | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Muchacho Alegre | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Mango Banilejo | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boombox Betty | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Patito | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Three Little Birds | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yadirayadirayadira | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gallant Knight | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tree C’s Kai | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veronika Z | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Back to Gridlock | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Latte Lizzie | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Basilea | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Screen | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wellness | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Give Me Liberty | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fredericksburg | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Daredevil | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Cap | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Antillean | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mustang Bay | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Star | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nate the Great | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Navy Cross | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uno Tiger | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Get Ready to Rock | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leopardi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shankar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tiz the Coast | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bold Advance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Battle Call | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Flash | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Iceman | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jack Kerouac | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Runner | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quereme Pass (ARG) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Manor House | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sting Music | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fly Commander | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Milazzo | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imperatus | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Corta Fuego | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Accelerate Me | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prinsipito | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Ascot | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Cat | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Il Marchesse | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.