Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mo Joke |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lil Sebastian |
4.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fridayswithmurray |
10.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dats Mr. Tap |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Mendelslew |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
14 |
14 |
Severn Run |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dark Lute |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Twist ‘n Twirl |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Mungo |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Sigmund |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Fightnomoreforever |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Mortal Sin |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
J R Jone Z |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Mike the Bomb |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Anotherhope |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Autumn in Vermont |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seven’s Magic |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wicked Melissa |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fabia |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
She Something Else |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Fivefive Six Champ |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mean Jakey |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Retained |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Laddie Dance |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Island d’Lite |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Competitive Saint |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
By the Sey Shore |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Embolden |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Boss Is a Pal |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Noble Jon |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Louisianimal |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Vamos Viejo |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Full Irish |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Motskari |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Estilo Magico |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yes Point |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Admit Nothing |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whatahardmanfidead |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Formal Affair |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nico Lucky |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Green Eyed Monster |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Feelin So Lucky |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dwelling Legacy |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dine and Dash |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lift the Lid |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blessed Candy |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Society Ball |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Kilo Road |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Dark Pool |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Arise My Love |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cynthia Gail |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Golden Sword |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fiery Dart |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Langleyswaterfall |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mildred Pierce |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Oppose |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Keepthedreamalive |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Seger Songs |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Nobody’s Girl |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Lorraine (FR) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Siyouni Flash (FR) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Bouncer |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
S S Sinatra |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hunter Joe |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bump N Run |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Boat’s a Rockin |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Judge Davis |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Maya Prince |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Doctor Jeff |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Petingas Twin |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Tuned to the Moon |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shkhara Fire |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
In My Memories |
1.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nancy Mary |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Seaside Road |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Baytown Butterfly |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Margarita Daze |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Princess of Omaha |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Empire’s Treat |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jam’s Paper Moon |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Holy Fit |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Skittliedat |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Brand New Dance |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Map to the Moon |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Clare Court |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Somme River |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Valerie Street |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Sweet Marie |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Positive Carry (IRE) |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.