Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kirby Kaye |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grand Prairie Gal |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Marina’s Gold |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Leucadia |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Slick City Girl |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
War Music |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Brumbodoppelganger |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aloha Baby |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Laura Branigan |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Collected Glory |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Janes Girls |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Highwood |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bad Boy Brawny |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bobulinski |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cherry Glen |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shame On Steve |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
S Key Ter |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Illegal Ice |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Barn Buster |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Dashed |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Full Victory |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Red River |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Allegrissimo |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Days in Dublin (IRE) |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bad Boy for Life |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Abstract That |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Mischievous Bria |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mind Your Mo |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Inca Stroll |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anchors and Spurs |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aintnoshakin Kid |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hard Spirits |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Alexiana |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Baxter |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Meeker |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Edgy Lover |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ante Meridiem |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Steely Eye |
2.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Red Kingdom |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Burn Indy Burn |
3.50 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gold Jerry |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
C R Insta Gator |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
St. Elmo |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Karaoke |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dinner At Crumpies |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Midnight Rules |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ears to Me |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Day Money |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Husker Butch |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Band’s Free Spirit |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kissed a Cadet |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Virtue’s Reward |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mo Lute |
12.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hooked On Dreams |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Better Than Good |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Rapha |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Red Romance |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stumpy’s Love Song |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.