Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maryland Spirit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lemoncella Spritz | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vrana (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Ronde | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Medusa’s Gold | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wild Card | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Maxi | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lonny’s Gamble | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scuderia | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Ride | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spiritual Man | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Captivating Name | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Danger | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Its in the Cards | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Effect | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Armino | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Audi’s World | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zisisit (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Romantica | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shade of Pale | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Theft | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brutally Honest | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nantuckets Day | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Destiny Ro | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bedazzle Me | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blitz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | William T | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thor’s Cause | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gotme Good | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Ghost | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Connor | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empower | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ella It Is | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Money Hunny | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Periwinkle | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Serenading Amaya | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just a Gem | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmy’s Affair | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ami’s Girl | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pickford Sweet | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Sky | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nikita’s Gem | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Never Surprised | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piper’s Factor | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Niagara Skyline | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McAvoy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Society’s Thunder | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Reserve | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crumlin Lad | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Mambo | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blueberry Fields | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smudge | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salt | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Double Velocity | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Girl Della | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Little Frisky | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Time | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peace Posey | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Swift Delivery | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hunt Master | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gas Me Up | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No More Options | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maakwa | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Last Dawn | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bail Us Out | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breaking Alone | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Journeyman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fly the W | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lac Macaza | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Mascot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.