Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Strike | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | That’s Something | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drifter | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rachel’s Caper | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Asset Basis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | State School Smart | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bilderberg | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Coast | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swift Key | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Low On Funds | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southfork | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Savoya Return | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madethedean’slist | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sangria Sky | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surprise Road Trip | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Papa Geeb | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stroller Boy | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eye of the Panthor | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prized Tap | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Go the Distance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steel Link | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Husker Butch | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pleaseusetheportal | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clearwater Sunset | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rowdy Ray | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bolt Forty Five | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pickmeupatmidnight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Escape Map | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sophie’s Girl | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ranch Rebel | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mary | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Call Darla | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Special Gift | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Breeze | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Leapin Ty Man | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | On a Hunch | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Razor Wire | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cinco de Mo | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet of Hoof | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strollntothemarket | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Fee’s Secret | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Orphan Sandy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Redneckerthanyou | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Guard | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rockin the Dad Bod | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Justa Streak | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Late for Lunch | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Succession | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ships On Fire | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreadpirateroberts | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.