Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Keeping the Faith |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Skyler |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Livehappy |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Phenomenal Dream |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Bote |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Eerie’s Song |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Beezer |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bright Lights Joe |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Watch Me Now |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
No No Joe |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lend It Tewmey |
8.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vitement |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Play the Trumpet |
10.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spanish Wells |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mr. Melo |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Merlotti |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rivalry |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Committee of One |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Ride the Broom |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Evermore |
15.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rush to Glory |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Moringa |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Reading Time |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Reign Champagne |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Violences Ohr |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
B. Swifty |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Justtakethecannoli |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Fab Girl |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lil Breezzy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Insolenta |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Give Her Another |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pour a Little More |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tegwar |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mighty Risky |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Romanaya |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Well Aware |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Sheila |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Poetica |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Beelieve Her |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Divine Gal |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Travaille |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Princess Pom Pom |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Street Painter |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Trouble Free |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Storm Bay |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Too Fast for You |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jackie’s Love |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Mariposa de Pista |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Royal Suite |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Authentic |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cue the Duckboats |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Win for Speight |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Oraia |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kimber Spice |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sun Lightning |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Toolbelt |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lobby Rendezvous |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Airborne Elite |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Summonyourcourage |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Googol Joke |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stashu |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Good Lord |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Noble Gentleman |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Handsome Herb |
3.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Remi’s Moon |
4.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
That’s Right |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dhabab (IRE) |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Script |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Toddchero |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Edge to Edge |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Let My People Go |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
B D Valeski |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Test Factor |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Surf City |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bad Beat Brian |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Step Forward |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Hilarious Affair |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Let It Ride |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Funtastic Vow |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tentacion |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
True Passion |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Daisy Duke |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Strong State |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mezcalifornia |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scythia |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Elle |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mascara |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mom’s Cheesecake |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kentucky Smokeshow |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.