Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Bond’s Belle |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mabee a Miracle |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Respect the Law |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Just the Thing |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Afterneath |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wampy |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
More Mayhem |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Charlize Chub |
4.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tapwrit Warrior |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Simmering |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chelsea Wall |
1.60 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quit Quay |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miti Fast Flower |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
One Violent Affair |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Heleonortiz |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Jet Spin |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mizoula (IRE) |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ballycurrin |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Grey Humor |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sheppton Sisters |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Best Song |
2.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Electrica |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Great Moon |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Gortreagh Gal |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Khozanall |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Can Do |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ferociousness |
1.60 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fashionista |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lino and Me |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rascallion |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kitty Tin Tin |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Seafarer |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Breezethrutime |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bossy Jeans |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Its Satisfactual |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cheese |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Summer Flower |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Urban Star |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Honorable Chill |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sunday Tiff |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Princess Buttercup |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Unbounded Movement |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Vieux Carre |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rozzyroo |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lost River |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rose Gold Candy |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Atlantis Queen |
2.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bollo de Crema |
1.60 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Card Trick |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Massif |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Covert Kat |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roundtop |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Omni King |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fletcher |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rampagius |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fear of Union |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Collection Day |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Lazlo |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Zippy Do Da Day |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bella Creed |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Savi Dancer |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tricky River |
1.40 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Best Worst Idea |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Go Chloe Go |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.