Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, June 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Beverly R. Steinman Hurdle H.) – Beverly R. Steinman Hurdle H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Little Trilby (GB) 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Proven Innocent 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Carloun (IRE) 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Awakened 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Auction Kingdom 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Evie’s Prince 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Sultan Pierji (FR) 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Mike Lee S.) – Mike Lee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Prince Valiant 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Soontobeking 4.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Train the Trainer 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Smilensaycheese 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Calling Card 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 First Pitch 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Mo Plex 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Willful Mama 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Miss Im Pulsive 3.50 1.6 3-1
12 12 Olivia’s Grace 12.00 2 4-1
2 2 Miss Uproar 20.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Three Nines Fine 20.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Just Add Water 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Vino Samara 12.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Lady Delilah 15.00 3.9 7-1
13 13 I Heard Somethings 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 No Ordinary Love 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Jalimar 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Bodegas 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Alpine Giant 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Commentator S.) – Commentator S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bank Frenzy 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 General Banker 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Locke and Key 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Drake’s Passage 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Mama’s Gold 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Dr. Kraft 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Rock the Weekend 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Rose’s Pepino 50.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sounds Like a Plan 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Courtly Banker 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Pay the Juice 4.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 The Paddock Pastor 3.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Toscano 6.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Mo Kreesa 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Leon Blue 10.00 7 13-1
9 9 Huggy 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Swift Magic 20.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Outsource 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Bouwerie S.) – Bouwerie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bernieandtherose 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Accelerating 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Kay Cup 1.80 2.5 5-1
6 6 Valtellina 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Charlotte’s Heart 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Howling Wind 20.00 5 10-1
4 4 Crimson Queen 20.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Storm Changer 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Kingston S.) – Kingston S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Itsallcomintogetha 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Hush of a Storm 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Bettrluckythangood 6.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Born Dancer 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Clear Conscience 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Union Trail 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Ruse 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Be of Courage 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Gem Mint Ten 12.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Shadow Dragon 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Schlomo 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Antonio of Venice 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Critical Eye S.) – Critical Eye S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sterling Silver 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 P Mutter Pickle 6.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Bernietakescharge 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Amanda’s Folly 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Snappin Buttons 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Call Her Bluff 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Racing Colors 30.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Lika Rolling Stone 30.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Landed 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Mount Vernon S.) – Mount Vernon S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Whatlovelookslike 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Silver Skillet 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Awesome Czech 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Spinning Colors 8.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Midnight Concerto 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Can’t Fool Me 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Brocknardini 5.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Bobby M’s Girl 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Cara’s Time 30.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Snowy Evening 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shakeitforthebird 15.00 1 2-1
10 10 Mission Hill 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 English Castle 12.00 2 4-1
4 4 Coach Case 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sir Oscar 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Spirit of the Law 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Hello Newman 12.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Zeus Lightning 30.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Sir Lawrence 6.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Moe Eighty Eight 20.00 9 17-1
9 9 The Saint 15.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Blue Pill 50.00 10.1 19-1
16 16 Terminal Velocity 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Before the Wind 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Undisputed 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Arch’s Assault 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.