Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Paved in Gold | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Farley Hall | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Solid Left | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jr’s Gift | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Enough | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Or Wine | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beer With Ice | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flicker (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shot of Courage | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Action | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ember | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proven Hope | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spycraft | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khozy My Boy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Metatron’s Muse | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shakin Loose | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sundance Feature | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sam’s Treasure | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Keepsake | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outrageously | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Planet Clare | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Elegant | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | All About Alice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tempting Eve | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magical Day | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Escapade | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diagram | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Split Success | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dear Scarlett | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Everloving | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tickin Time Blonde | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | McLaughlin | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | One Front War | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Thatsalrightmama | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Powerwashed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lady of Light | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Star Blessing (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Harvard | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nikolaou | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Master Game | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Asmodeus | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Boss | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liam the Brave | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sant’ Antimo | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | W W Crazy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Feeling Beachy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foreseen | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Faire Plaisir | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | East Shore | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ensorcell | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Purloin | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Tempest | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Niki Nine Doors | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Out too Late (GB) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girls Weekend | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Fashion Kate | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Squall | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cart Girl Sam | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hideki | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Paint Me Perfect | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Best Cupcake | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Everyoneloveslinda | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hillerito | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Satin Blue | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Bodacious (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cocktailsnkringle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Improbable Luck | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flick | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rock It | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Excellent Chance | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tough Customer | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Incredible | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Du Monde | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle School | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Major League | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ancient History | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Legend of Bobby C | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.