Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Hundred Proof |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prince Praline |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Super Casper |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Muthabir |
1.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chase a Dream |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Super Tiz |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Al Ameeq |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hey River |
1.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Heights |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maybe It’s Time |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Renegade Serenade |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Lucky Luke |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Reece’s Drama |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
La Tremenda |
1.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Big Bolt |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bahamian Baby |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Incan Moon Goddess |
12.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Judith’s Cross |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sweet and Feisty |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tale of Emmery |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Avatal Hero |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Watch Your Tone |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bonita Lassie |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Honor the Truth |
1.60 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Namora |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Beachgrass |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Heart |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
One Improbable |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stanley Cat |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Airman Trevor |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Quahog Republic |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hoarding |
1.20 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mach Two Blue |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Magic Bay |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Justice Bell |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Man With the Money |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Bellofthebluegrass |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chickieness |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Put the Crazy Away |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Graceful Rose |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Normandy Life |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Old Bay |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Sal’s Blue Jacket |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bottle Rocket (FR) |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Hidden Presence |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Morgs World |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Venomous Vixen |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Glossamer |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Momma’s Lino |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Victoria’s Dancer |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stress Reliever |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Volatility |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Honor Cat |
1.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
R Averie Lynn |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tweet Away Robin |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ritabook |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Preparefortakeoff |
1.60 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Valid Reason |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sapphire Beauty |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.