Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 5, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Tremont S.) – Tremont S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mercilesanihilator 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mythical 1.60 2.8 5-1
5 5 Romeo 1.80 3 6-1
2 2 Blinging It Back 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Baytown Dreamer 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Magnum’s Microbrst 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fire’s Out 4.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Time Stone 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Key Actress 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Bourbon Milk Punch 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 New Attitude (IRE) 8.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Curlin’s Angel 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Ratu Jawa 30.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Share Repurchase 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hideaway 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 I’m Very Sweet 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Astoria S.) – Astoria S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vernon Valley 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gena B 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Sassy C W 1.60 1.4 3-1
1 1 Varinisi 10.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Ticket to Ride 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Looks to Kill 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Thiene (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tales of The Heart (IRE) 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 La Salvadorena 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Sol Hope 4.00 2.7 5-1
12 12 Hold Your Breath 15.00 3 6-1
2 2 Frances Stanley 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Soloshot 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Bedtime Story 30.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Shesinamood 20.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Bundchen 8.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Call Me Penny 50.00 10.6 20-1
3 3 Cadencia 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Proud Foot 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Willow Bend 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Best Impression 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sarir 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Will of a Womanne 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Heavenly Girl 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Cloudy Chance 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 On a Summer Day 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Nonna Lynne 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Tralee Girl 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Trulli Magic 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Night Jasmine 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Professor Grace 8.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Bank On Bebe 30.00 11.9 23-1
12 12 Hello Beauty 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 High End 10.00 SCRATCH
2B 14 Bryant and Cooper 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sassetti 6.00 SCRATCH
14 16 Our Preferred Pal 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Saratoga Snow 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Velvet Vortex 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Donor Advised 4.50 2.7 5-1
10 10 Mursal 10.00 3.4 6-1
1A 11 Luna Moth 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Table Flirt 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Pure Beauty 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Limes Don’t Lie 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Feasible 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Adeliese’s Smile 30.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Our Liberty Belle 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bailintin 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Intercontinental S.) – Intercontinental S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Future Is Now 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Twirling Queen 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Pipsy (IRE) 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Danse Macabre 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Pandora’s Gift (IRE) 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Kairyu (IRE) 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Time to Dazzle 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Creed’s Gold 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 On Command 15.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Run for the Hills 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Octane 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Willy D’s 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Film Star 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Kuchar 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Classic Catch 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Dubyuhnell 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Castle Chaos 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Wild Vine 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Surface to Air 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Poker S.) – Poker S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Major Dude 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cameo Performance 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Donegal Momentum 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Mischievous Angel 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Intellect (FR) 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sherlock’s Jewel 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Depiction 10.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Magnolia Midnight 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Yo Daddy 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Filo Di Arianna (BRZ) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Just So Pretty 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Dandy Vandy (FR) 12.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Queens Fable (IRE) 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Bint Al Dandy (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Raghba 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Faded Jeans (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dimensionality 15.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Green Jobs 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 More for Sure (IRE) 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Pay the Bills (FR) 50.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Smartest 4.50 5 9-1
12 12 Cleopatra’s Key 15.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Spirit of Hope 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.