Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Geopolitics | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Shenanigans | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Mischief | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Munnings Express | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | M J’s Yoshida | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bellacose | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet’s Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Capital Gal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | First Class Cat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Carol T | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | All Night Revival | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Surprise | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweet Mackenzie | 50.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cara’s Chianti | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Resurge | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ragtime | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Absolute Honor | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Endorse | 1.60 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Filly Freedom | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lost Horizon | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Mint Tea | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Numbered | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Solo Vincere | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Works for Me | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Curtis Run | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Refuel | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Final Verdict | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Urban Legend | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Antares | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fore Harp | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bonus Move | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Step Forward | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | What’s Up Bro | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Laser Sharp | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Army Gal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jackson’s Dixie | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Embraceable Gal | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nolita | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vehemente | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Short Shift | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Echo in Eternity | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clover Street | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Krystalheir | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thirteen Red Flags | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Malarchuk | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreamlike | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Skate | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Waitlist | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seeking Unity | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frizzante | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strategic Focus | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Costa Terra | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled Bomber | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Capitol Hill | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Bed O’ Roses S.) – Bed O’ Roses S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Irish Maxima | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scylla | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ways and Means | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Justify | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | St. Benedicts Prep | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jody’s Pride | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justique | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mystifying | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Louise Procter (FR) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hope Mission | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wrigleyville | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Beautiful (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spool | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Next On Stage | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Miami (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unreasonable (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Temple City Taboo | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royalty Rate | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady River Lily | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Any Port | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Our Liberty Belle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Save Us Melania | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Best Impression | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tom Collins | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ski Bum | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reteko | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Asbury Park (GB) | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bobby Bob | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kulapat | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Orgonite | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Solutions | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Spun | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Just Bernie | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Arkhipov | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Inwood Drive | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | The Hero Code | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Noble Confessor | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Prove | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Laird of Magnolia | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ogden Phipps S. Presented By Ford) – Ogden Phipps S. Presented By Ford
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Raging Sea | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tarifa | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Randomized | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dorth Vader | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leslie’s Rose | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dazzling Move | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candied | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Belmont Gold Cup S.) – Belmont Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grand Sonata | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tawny Port | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flatten the Curve (FR) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yo Daddy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Timeout | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curbstone | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Parchment Party | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Padiddle | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lord Flintshire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Limited Liability | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Anglophile | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | La Mehana (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | The Ginger Wizard (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Dk Horse Acorn S.) – Dk Horse Acorn S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Good Cheer | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Look Forward | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scottish Lassie | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Cara | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quickick | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bless the Broken | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shred the Gnar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (New York S. Presented By Rivers Casino) – New York S. Presented By Rivers Casino
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | She Feels Pretty | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beach Bomb (SAF) | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gimme a Nother (SAF) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forever After All | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bellezza (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Edict (ARG) | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miwa (GB) | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Immensitude (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Just A Game S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – Just A Game S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kehoe Beach | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Wan (IRE) | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Lilac Rolla (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simply in Front | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamic Pricing (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Excellent Truth (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Choisya (GB) | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Segesta | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Do Gooder | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sacred Wish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Heredia (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Keepinitreal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hit the Post | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Undisputed | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mozambique | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sanzio | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Iron Dome | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dark Magic | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | College Hunk | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Speightful Storm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | State of Readiness | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Solo Jim | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coach Pitino | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Terminal Velocity | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Poppy’s Ticket | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Counter Move | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.