Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tinki Abarrio | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We’ll Do It Live | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Is Olivia | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rock Star Parking | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Jeopardy | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Protomagic | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tempting Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cruise Missile | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Can I Get Awitness | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | People Get Ready | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hope Restored | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Leap | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warm Days | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | St. Albans Raid | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classic Legacy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miles Ahead | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cape Trafalgar | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Underhill’s Tab | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Law | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Glider | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | She Wants War | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rational Theory | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I’m Mo Joke | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girls Rock | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Murphy Girl | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Front War | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucy McGee | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reya Sunshine | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tupelo | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Typecase | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Moon Mystique | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pointsetmatch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Victory Waltz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Candy Mine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Grey Matter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hitherto | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bolt On the Rocks | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Dig | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mila Junes | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ladan | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wits and Wagers | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rando | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Had That One Too | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Snipsnippitysnip | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Tapit | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eyes On Italy | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rather Distinct | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Halstyn Rose | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fleetingly | 1.40 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Pharaoh | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Motown Honey | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zeliha | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Pharaoh | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marcinkowski | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Writteninthesand | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Hello Beauty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lotus Petal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Massarat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sheila’s Lion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo Hope | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laugh a Lot | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First of His Name | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redemption Time | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Haunted Flame | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greers Ferry | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gift Certificate | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yinzer | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maui Strong | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Native Runner | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anegada | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pagode | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sing Sing | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barricade | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Earned Not Given | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Warrior Wayne | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Warden | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spirit Rags | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Landing Craft | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Valiant Humor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fanatical | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orange Diablo | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Wolf | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Math Tutor | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rockin His Sox Off | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Town | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jonathan’s Song | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stormtown | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Finkle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Good Mojo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mighty Beau S.) – Mighty Beau S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run Carson | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arrest Me Red | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joe Shiesty | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Champlin | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Epic Ride | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | All Jokes Aside | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Balsa | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Charcoal | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Module | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Doncho | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Global Quote | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Where Y’at | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daiquiri Sommelier | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | American Litigator | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colonel Caliente | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Article | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Moe Mow | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ambridge | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mula | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bravitas | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caesarea | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.