Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Emily’s On Fire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bucchanera | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Opportunity | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Eve | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Belle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | K D Kakes | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunny Side Up | 4.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brooklyn Heights | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pit Boss | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Empire | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gurt’s Warrior | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teewinot Pass | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sailor’s Return | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Factotum | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Subway Susie | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chit Chat Chub | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One of the Ones | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Streets of Paris | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Callie Rae | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Far Heart | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | La de Peluche | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Jane | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kates Warriorheart | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Creamrisestothetop | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Refined Elaine | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queenmother | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tycoon Mogul | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Badbadbobby | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Swansboro | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skinny Joey | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Four Days Early | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marine Patrol | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Travel Guide | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Styner | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bestsugardaddyever | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The King Cheek | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vanzzy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Colton | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missouri River | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ike’s Gamble | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mistical Curlin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smoke Wagon | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Conviction | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Your Money | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Margie’s Fun Son | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin Gunner | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Haleigh B | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Megan’s Noel | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irie Empress | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amy Mule | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joey the Fish | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amalfi Lady | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Girvinized | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | True Phenomenon | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noisy On the Bay | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carousel Queen | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Ransom | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vicki Vale | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Whiner | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Dunes | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Dreamer | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Max Forward Speed | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Master of Tweets | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Celestial Dark | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Air Force | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Michi | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fastidious | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.