Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
News At Ten (GB) |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Night Out |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Time Song |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nation |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blamethegoodtimes |
4.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Louis the Champ |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bolt Supremacy |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Knightwithlouis |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Liquid Spirit |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady of Sky |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Approval Rating |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Petite Treat |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Polythene Pam |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Ready to Pounce |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Man Child |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Leyas Candy |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zimba Warrior |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Contrary Chieftain |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nauvoo |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zeyaraat |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Miles Finch |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lord Dunmore |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Milken Cookies |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Horizon Wildcat |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Curlin Command |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Drop the Bit |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Subic Boy |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Scene by Me |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Maxville |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
San Andreas |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
10 |
10 |
Highplainsdrifter |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
En Tu Honor Bro |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Lil’ Boom Boom |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big City Miss |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flash That Smile |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Elsa Dutton |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sexy Blue |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rockford Peach |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mia Pia |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
All in the Game |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sir Rocket |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Catmansue |
4.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Papa Love’s Vegas |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Uncle Chilly |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Piper’s Causeway |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Annan |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mio Bambino |
5.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cardiff Crack |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sharona’s Wild Boy |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Shillelagh |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bid On the Prize |
50.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Three Georges |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Summertime Oaks) – Summertime Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Cash Call |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Moonlight |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Howin |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sea Runner |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Allihies |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thought Process |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Silent Law |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ottoman Prince (IRE) |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Jeweled Shillelagh |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tessuto |
30.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zalamo (FR) |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lahaina Flavor |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Caisson |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Guy Named Joe |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
King of Clubs |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miracle Mark |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hudson Ridge |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Spycatcher |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
El Rey Rey |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Rosie Ann Rules |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tropical Rain Day |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Empress of Grace |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sav’s Thirsty Star |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Butterfly Beach |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Prizeconquest |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cela Hall |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ponytail Pete |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Runyon Canyon |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Rehearsal (IRE) |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Edge of Mali (IRE) |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lila |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kitty Marren |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Church Lady (IRE) |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sensational Dream |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Artois |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Neema |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
For Arrogate |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Auntie |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Icons Only |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
14 |
14 |
Gladly |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Time to Shine |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.