Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Born Flashy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tis Charming | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forge in Fire | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beck’s Spirit | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enough Already | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Noah | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hasten | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Probale Ten | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rewire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Zeca Diabo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Box Office | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapakena | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Salt Lick | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Johnson | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Come to Papa | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nastinate | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Song | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Boy Bill | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bigwrigdude | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | C Mac Da Boss | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Vivaldi | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Channel | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Its Bourbon Thirty | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Some Performance | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johny’s Rendezvous | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Demetrius | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kicking Clear | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sustainability | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Mike | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mary’s Lad (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chaching Chaching | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ivory and Ebony | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dashin’ Diva | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Proud | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Queen | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buckle Chaser | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Delightful Claire | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Action Player | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hitherto | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Leslie’s Lady Overnight S.) – Leslie’s Lady Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Memory | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eclatant | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vodka With a Twist | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kilwin | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Martini | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Evanescence | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impulse Buy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Go Go | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Eriu (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dala | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Olivia | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Silver Moonlight | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Kaufy | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moochie Girl | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bonne Fille | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grade A | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Silver | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Laurie’s Secret | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Myiyla | 6.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Serengeti | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mae Town | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Viral Plane Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Perfect Figure | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Honest Al | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chance | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle William | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justifreak | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Halo | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gettinby | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anthonian | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ajaayb | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brody | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Side Eye | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | C K Wonder | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Matt Winn S.) – Matt Winn S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Final Gambit | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | East Avenue | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Burnham Square | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coal Battle | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gaming | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Just a Fair Shake | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Chunk of Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | British Isles | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Hope | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clyde’s Got a Gun | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Oscar Season | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom’s Way | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Little Nut | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Safe Trip Home | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mutaawid | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lips Say Bliss | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mena | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lincoln Highway | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big to Do | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Liar’s Poker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Quadra Island | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.