Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Danner |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ennis Town |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Karma’s Inthehouse |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Built by Khozan |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Davyjonz |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Potcake |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gung Ho |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bold Mirage |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
One True Dude |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Sam the Sham |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sassafrassness |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Countryclub Couple |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Justheart |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Melancia |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Esroh |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chase by the Moon |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Danni’s Rhythm |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
U Know When U Know |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Little Red |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sea Shanty |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Designer Bag |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cha Cha Tap |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Osa |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Asknotwhatyoucando |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Power and Glory |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Steam Knot |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Red Haired Gal |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tanka Tough |
8.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crimson Lille |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Spirit and Truth |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Feel the Bolt |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lorraine’s Way |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sheezahotmess |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Map to the Moon |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Irish B Goode |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
A P M Notion |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gentle Breeze |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Watch Out World |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spiralizer |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Night Preacher |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fear Nothing |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Agent Kelly |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lou’s Birthday |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Twirling Express |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Master Munnings |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
El Junior |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Tea Rose |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lass Sassenach |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pozo |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hot Boss |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Third Tuesday |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Marmara |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Authenticated |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grosse Ile |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mille McCall |
8.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Princess Clemmie |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Leelinda |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Holy Brick |
30.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
16 |
16 |
Princess Brandy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Just My Type |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Need a Miracle |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Pap’s Lil Patriot |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Head of the Class |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Atention to Detail |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Preacha Meyers |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Winning Trip |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr On High |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Edelweiss |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Divine Swagger |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Railroad Inn |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brindano |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
6 |
Barong |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
5 |
Key Stat |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Tetched |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Blo By’em |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1A |
8 |
Joe the Jet |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Grey Flannel Boss |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
9 |
Daddy Yankee |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
7 |
Twice Gold |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Lifting |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Takethefifth |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Locomotive |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pretty Jimmy |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Italiano Kid |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dats Tap |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Go to Bingo |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dad Joke |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Triple Nickles |
4.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Transactional Guy |
3.50 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Madefromliona |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
1 |
1 |
Valid Connection |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.