Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Country Living | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caught Speeding | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Storm | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Iconic | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sol de Verano | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ok Speedy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Happy Quad | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tentomidnight | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backonthechaingang | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Come On Big Lou | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Go Liam | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Backroadsbilly | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So Delicious | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rude Procedure | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Potato | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Delta Force | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Sparkle | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fire and Wine | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Making His Mark | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Instant Response | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Screen Boss | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Westminster | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Big Zapper | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Signature Sir | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imperial Gold | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fourlegsgood | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fine Style | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Bear | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bankingonamiracle | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Realm | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sedburys Ghost | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Rainbow | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Criminal Intent | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Sousi | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Velociraptor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Biles (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proudly Hailed (GB) | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Total Sensation | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Adversity | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Memories | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Here I Go | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Souper Dormy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pine Knoll | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Western Whirl | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khali’s Dream | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One True Gentleman | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highland Life | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Poseidon Steel | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Queenston S.) – Queenston S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forty N Five | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Guest | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dewolf | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flirting With Fire | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mansetti | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Notorious Gangster | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Regal Guest | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bee Me | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfectworks | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Diablito | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Snooze | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Video Evidence | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rhumbaba | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dontgobackonurword | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.