Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Purple and Gold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trista | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devastating | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Powerwashed | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream Life | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lindy Can | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Dixie | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cowgirl Chic | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Inexorable | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cashmeup | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Agent Creed | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pike Place | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outlier | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swift as I Am | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Rey Dorado | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rather Late | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Best Friend | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smell the Lilies | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hylla | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingsolver | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Late Night Text | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Actual | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go to Girl | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby Ruby | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dean Martini | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Resolve | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Escape | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trident Hit | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carolo Rapido | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bernin Hot | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manta Rey | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Long Ago (GB) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parish Lane | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In Time (FR) | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Partir (FR) | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sanctify | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Itsallaboutmebaby | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Here’s the Spider | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Janey Creed | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Serengeti | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carolina Smokeshow | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Passage East | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brunch With Amy | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crushed Ice | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tennesseehoneybee | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Susan B | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Bunny | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Palmetto Fury | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Joejoe Go | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bye Bye Miles | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bermuda Blitz | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waco | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shan | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thrilla | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Putting Eagle | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charbonnay | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Send Cash | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rojo Rita | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Go Mark | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Troubleshooting | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Vintage (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Universal Sound | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Initialize | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mae Town | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Innovator | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Theismann | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frosty Indulgence | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Brie’s in Town | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Systemic Change | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gilmore | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keen Cat | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Azoi | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dance Some Mo | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gasoline | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Noble Knight | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runwithheart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Swiss Slang | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.