Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sigmund | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Dooly | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Long Astride | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sidney’s Bid | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Lad | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Wanna Rock | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | On the Chill | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blackwater Falls | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom Queen | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Azure Lady | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tam Char | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Pebble | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Justice | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Sunshine | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Explosive Exchange | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ray’s Blue Wagon | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | So Grand | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Home Invasion | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Sky’s Syl | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parlay for Destiny | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frame Up | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blame the River | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buck Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Electioneering | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shane Falco | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | By the Riverside (FR) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Afraidofthebunny | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Group Ticket | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sin Permiso | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epic Luck | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Jefferson | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greyzer | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty the Giant | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Colora Kid | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dalinar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Simply Disregarded | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Love Shaq | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Josh | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Little Caibo | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spezia’s Son | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Door Gunner Joe | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Merging Traffic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Armoured | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stow On the Wold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pujol | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | No More Sins | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Drink This Cup | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Call | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Digital Sale | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Princess | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quercus | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leilauni Sue | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Diana | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Somnium | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Code Name Willow | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Portada | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Khokela Miss | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Butter Kisses | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Girl | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Levigata | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valerie’s Special | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jersey Joyce | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lookin At Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mo Hype | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Izzy Sweet Girl (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.