Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Matadora | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nonna’s Love | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Goose | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chrysalism | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maiora | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Venerini | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Connect the Stars | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street Sue | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | One Time Frankie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reside | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Genie | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Sweetnessthrtyfour | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Joe G Twentythree | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nowucme Nowudont | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Dinner Royale | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rodeo Star | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock Harbor | 0.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yayi Nikolle | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | That’sthefactjack | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Accelerina | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Te Amo | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Six Kings | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eric From Miami | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Provision | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Purchase | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Because the Night | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boss Three O Two | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Spoken Bluntly | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Master Freud | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | King Covee | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | My Life Story | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unbroken Chain | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Kick a Buck | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tapwrits Temper | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Set Twirl | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Awesome Empire | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Tiote | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Epitaph | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Social Hour | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Catchphrase | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Despo’s Dream | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Street View | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Roman Goddess | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Florida Flower | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Melle Mel | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Looks First | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | North End Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grace and Grit | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trail of Gold | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit of Esther | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amy’s Light | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cara’s Dreamweaver | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Jasmine | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mommy’s Turn | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Quiet Confidence | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spun Size | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cynane | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Yola | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Proud Mary | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Factor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Infastuation | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mac to Moore | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | I’m Kidding | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dare to Breeze | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rhaenys | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dangherecomesshang (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.