Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stellify | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tarneema | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wedding Mood (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Spin | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quietly | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indy’s Halo | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Southeastern | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Obliteration | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sense of Freedom | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s On a Roll | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clocker Special | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curtain Call | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hyperlink | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Bear | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stage Presence | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ce La Vi Charli | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Day Dawning | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Army Girl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Low Key | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Catamount | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Western Command | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vitement | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Penrod | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Not Normal | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sutherland | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiverton (GB) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | More Than Five | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One for My Brother | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Peanut | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pineland | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Musical Maestro | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s Gesture | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Askari | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Beers by Ten | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Game Point | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gamblin George | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Double Neat | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | House United | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Covert Law | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quokka | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gardiner | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trust Issues | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suited and Booted | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dazzlemesilver | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Furious Anger | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Show Master | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Morunning | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redacted | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fully Volatile | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stretch Ride | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cat On Time | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deer District | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ignite the Light | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Friar Laurence | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Jimi D | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spinning Pride | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tour Player | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lottery Win | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lambo | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Studeny | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Work | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Banderas | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Munson | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gallo de Fuego | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fly J’s Funtastic | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Lucky | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Mojo | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.