Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Military Road | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Blitz | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Energize | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St Pete’s Passion | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | L Golden Boy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wyoming Class | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | He’s in Charge | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baltasar | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rad Paisley | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | John’s Promise | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Undalay | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guaio | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lyric Street | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lord’s Lady | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indy’s Universe | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | C. C. Foxii | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go Alice Go | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tale of Power | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Placery | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Padrino’s Gold | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keep It Sweet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Like a Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Girl of Faith | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | More Acceleration | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pegster | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magic Spin | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Way Farrior | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pressure | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Tiger | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mean Tweets | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | You Kidding Me | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quick Tempo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Altobelli | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prom Knight | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yo Yo Candy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Genghis | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Basic Truth | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | By the Sey Shore | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mt Suribachi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cheers for Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Boss Is a Pal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Just Say When | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fadethenoise | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rye Diggitydog | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Aim for the Cork | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | J D Factor | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Collection Day | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Banker | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In the Dance | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fear of Union | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vax a Nation | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Take a Hint | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fluid Situation | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Swifty Devil | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Excitable Boy | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rennie | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gins and Tins | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Nitro Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cloudy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Doctor Jeff | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Where’s Ray | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Vamos Viejo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw Country | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Boss | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Step Lightly | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheese | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Girl | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Mesa | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Shawtown Girl | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amorica | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.