Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Grayosh | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Scarlet Poppy (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rhiannon | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eternal Silence | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Poca Mucha | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Malu | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Just Music | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pocket Queens | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grace Reformed | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Photo Finish | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purpose | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Walk With Me | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ah Ca Ira | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coco Sun | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toga Dan | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Executive Style | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dominican Pirate | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kaz Oil Changer | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Solo Dancing | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ark Royal | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Risk Threshold (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Golden Canary | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | All Class | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Simply Stated | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tazara (IRE) | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gala Brand | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caress | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Golden Degree | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dancin Jane | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Addagirl Addie | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Broken Zipper | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Widdershins | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mischievous Trick | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fifi La Fume | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fauve | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saipan | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucy Playa | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ashdale | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | It Takes Heart | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trade Secret | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coquito | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goldcrest | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | April Antics | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Halo City | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Floge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Poseidon’s Mist | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Neuschwanstein | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abadin | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tetsu | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jake Rocks | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scaramanga | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dads Good Runner | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gun Maestro | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whenlovetakesover | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Light Man | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Gunner | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Yoda | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Stride | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Bianco | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Repo Rocks | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twenty Four Mamba | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Purest Performance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Syl’s Pleasure | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Splendid One | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Summer | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backcheck | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kissed by Karma | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Otherpeoplesmoney | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catholic Edition | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Down in Dixie | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Fire | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.