Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sinister Smile | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preposition | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nyquist Frequency | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bon Temps | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Post Game | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mor Success | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Delta Tau Chi | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Track Ranger | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soco and Lime | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vix | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chado | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Berniedott | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Breeze | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Screen | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Windy Walk | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Where’s the Wine | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gila | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Performer | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colonial Rose | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asian Matriarch | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Starlit Sofi | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What’s Her Number | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tizntshelovely | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ranch Life | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judy’s Flyer | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hearts United | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Onmywaytosavthday | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Belle Cherie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mustang Lady | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cha Cha Chukka | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aviso | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cavatelli | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bread to Run | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiger Division | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poppy the Princess | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Scaloneta | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freak City | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Coins | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Smart | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Missy Bee | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Discreet Mischief | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nash | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red State | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harrodsburg | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doncho | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Major Blue | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Luck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Layla | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chilled | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Muffin | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Jamie | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Standoutsensation | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sultry Lass | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catmint | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Windy Bay | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Presider | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Thomas | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Domingo | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Malcolm X (PER) | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Hidden Chamber | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Emergence | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unstable Prince | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Channel | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Greystone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | My Boy Tony | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hard Mission | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Vesting (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Navy Seal (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Thomas Aquinas | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Charges On | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ask Arthur | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shortstop | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Go | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ultimate Strike | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Derek’s Law | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mugatu | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baytown Bruiser | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.