Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Farm House |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Calling an Audible |
1.80 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sabby Sunset |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Immigration Law |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Esther’s Salad |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bourbon Blanket |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (New York Stallion S.) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Disco Star |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mischief Lady |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Storm Changer |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boston’s Phinest |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Royal Event |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Scarborough Fair |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
2 |
Harlan’s Bond |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1A |
5 |
Carol Said No |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Foxy Cara |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
6 |
Dolce Sera |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
7 |
Fuligni |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lady Arwen |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
How’s Ur Attitude |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gun It |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dot’s Dollar |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cold as Hell |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kunshan Bridge |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hatch |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Screaming Uncle |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
True Connection |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1A |
10 |
Sequential |
1.20 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Limits of Power |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Belmont Union |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Down the Line |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Battle Anthem |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Laird of Magnolia |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Remember the Chief |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Natural Hunk |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
3 |
Aerate |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
8 |
Quiet Wisdom |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
9 |
Wynstock |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smooth Breeze |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
3 |
Baron of Sealand |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
7 |
Ocala Dream |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1A |
6 |
B D Saints |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Cable Ready |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Laurel Valley |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Slapintheface |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Winter’s Ghost |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tiberius Mercurius |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
He’s Got This |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Active Duty |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Commandperformance |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Retail Man |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tiz a Beast |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Co Conspirator |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cumberland Blues |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Macaw |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prince of Truth |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dialbolico |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mackville |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shakin the Belle |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brave Bear |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Messi the Magician |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vesuvio |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Trade Imbalance |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
2 |
Stamp of Approval |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
6 |
Turf Rocket |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1A |
11 |
Yo Leven |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
9 |
Enigmatic |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Luckforyou |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Looking for Ginny |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
4 |
Saucy Six |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Loveumissumeanit |
6.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
11 |
12 |
Royal Bobbie |
3.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
2 |
1 |
Hola Gata |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Alette d’Oro |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Downtown Channel |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Motel Patel |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Cousin Ed |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
14 |
15 |
Oath of Omerta |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cada Dia Mejor |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
15 |
16 |
Alzero |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
3 |
2 |
Maybern |
5.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pretrial Statement |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
2 |
1 |
Dead Aim |
30.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
1 |
5 |
Prince of Dance |
8.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dominican Thunder |
30.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
5 |
4 |
Perfect Shephard |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Orie |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
13 |
Oat Coutour |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Desert Power |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
14 |
Chris’s Song |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Out of the Fog |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.