Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Theprincessfactor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Churning Berni | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dawn After Dawn | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maddienlizzyshonor | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Many Mo Kisses | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buckeye Bombshell | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moving to Kentucky | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kevin’s Strike | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Encrypt | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Royalty | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strategist | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ped d’Oro | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Salty | 4.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Compadre | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Divine Wind | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forbidden Friend | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Claire’s Run | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Viper | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | B D’s Angel | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Adi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Girl’s Not Grey | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mila Rose | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mean Eileen | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zealous Moon | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Ruthless | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Admit | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Studio Hall | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Multiplication | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amarth | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Monomoy Girl Overnight S.) – Monomoy Girl Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Immersive | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Milady | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anna’s Promise | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Aliyah | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Minnesota Munny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Running Away | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crushed It | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Passing Game | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princetown | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Special Dispatch | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Badge of War | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neon Nights | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Evening News | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Real Men Violin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McIlroy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Django | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lou’s Legacy | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Footprint | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Next Level | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Remi’s Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Running Game | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bembridge Ledge | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Theravada | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Take Note of This | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Expectations | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jeweled City | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sun Lightning | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hello Beauty | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Vino Bella | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sheila’s Lion | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crawford | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star Blessing (IRE) | 10.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Hi’iaka | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Yammy Yammy Bella | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rodina | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Plot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Departure | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hold My Bourbon | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Not This Boy | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dai Vernon | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winters Lion | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Single Dot Yaht | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Russell | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Chic | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Chorleywood S.) – Chorleywood S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sugoi | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Red (GB) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Highway Robber | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Utah Beach | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anglophile | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Verstappen | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit Shoes | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goldeneye | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lambeth | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Bullingdon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.