Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sandpiper Memories |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
More Ransom |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Conquest Dancer |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Carroll Girl |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Extremely Gruntled |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thank the Academy |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Forest Acclamation |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Makemebelieve |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Honor the Truth |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Union Bulldog |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Derz Smart |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Arctic Outbreak |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hall Monitor |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chevy Man |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bjorn |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Warning Signs |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hegs |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Silly Rabbit |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
King Mendelssohn |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Celtic Prince |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Patrick’s Promise |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tojo’s Mojo |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lex |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ben’s Hero |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
English Daddy |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Firmantown |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Words of Fortune |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boyd’s Band |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Set for Life |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Twain |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jus Too Fly |
10.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Twelve Treasures |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Antisocial |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
14 |
14 |
Fully Authorized |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
13 |
13 |
Simulate |
2.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Harrigan |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Light Mood (FR) |
3.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nat Gas |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ohio Joe |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Urban Symphony |
1.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Roll On Jesse |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Mission Artemis |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Hey Big Un |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Alapocas Run S.) – Alapocas Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Sunny Breeze |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Full Moon Madness |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Buccherino |
1.60 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Damon’s Mound |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Counterspy |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sir Wellington |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Handsome Man |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Obeah S.) – Obeah S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Gun Song |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sidamara |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Foxy Junior |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Morning Matcha |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Malibu Beauty |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ragtime Belle |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Into Amore |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Done Enough |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Cape Henlopen S.) – Cape Henlopen S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Harrow |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dripping Gold |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Starting Over |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lord Eddard Stark |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vote No |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cyber Ninja |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Il Siciliano |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kay Army (CHI) |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Desvio |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Worthington |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Master Piece (CHI) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Delaware Derby) – Delaware Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Pascaline |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kentucky Outlaw |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Surfside Moon |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sacred Thunder |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Admiral Dennis |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Barbadian Runner |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Omaha Omaha |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
La Houligan |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Academy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
National Law |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Late Nite Call |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Delaware Oaks) – Delaware Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Fondly |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Complexity Jane |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cassiar |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Margie’s Intention |
2.50 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kinzie Queen |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Paris Lily |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dyna Soar |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Whatintheliteral |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Late Nite Call |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Richard Feynman |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Juice |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flamenco Star |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sounds Like Fun |
15.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vintage Year |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hope’s Alive |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mr. Funtastico |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Divino |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bully for You |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Operation Varsity |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Vacation |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.