Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Warren L | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Specialsortastorm | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iowa Club | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Love Rocknstroll | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreadpirateroberts | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Song Magic | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glengloria | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rub of the Green | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pumpkin Princess | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Lived My Dream | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Echobayou | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Creme de Cassis | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Sangria | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Supine Duchess | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canadian Jane | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Movie | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Native Queen | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | What About Q | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Climb to Glory | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devil D’ Oro | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Sue | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s My Kindagirl | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maui Mistress | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Steel Link | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vale | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Rojo Vivo | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baja Boogie | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neoking | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J T’s Imagination | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forthelonghaul | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rome’s Conquest | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Big Haas | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trafalgar’s Hero | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Sister’s Bubba | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlight Road | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tee Off Time | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zatara | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brownstone | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Strike | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uxmal | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holding Pattern | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sincerely Mine | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Commander Rex | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aaron | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caseys Memory | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Succession | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forced Ranking | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Asset Basis | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.