Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Captain Sparrow | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gazon (GB) | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet Feet | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hawker | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cascabel | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curry | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jaguar Jon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dorie Miller | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodnight Nellie | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Sue | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coiffeur | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Border Control | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thirsty Trickster | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Velocious | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Love | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shes Just Fluffy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nokie | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ryder’s Candy | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty Destiny | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Girvin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thought Process | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Schilflied | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Innovative | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Lil Lady | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Someday Lady | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Windribbon | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The G M | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Disobey | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mining District | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cody Boy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Runkerry | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Possibly Perfect S.) – Possibly Perfect S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Starry Heavens (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mahina | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Astor | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Gal (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Leca (URU) | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paris Secret (IRE) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eighties | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Love Caroline | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Final Table Lady | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joyriding | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Druliner | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tammy Baby | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Kat | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | That Ain’t Right | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Salty Sally | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Priscilla | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lino’s Angel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Grazeninthegrass | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Aza Tack | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whatmakessammyrun | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Osage Creek | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Reflection | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harry’s Onthefly | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Commander (FR) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Law Abiding | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Silver | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cheever | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lorenzo Bernini | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nassau Circle | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Poor Connection | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Penalty Box | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reno | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One More Time | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Daytona S.) – Daytona S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Motorious (GB) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bran (FR) | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Force Red | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goliad | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lovesick Blues | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Watsonville | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daniel’s Magic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stay Hot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Bet | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brother o’ Brien | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Upstart Yankee | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chief Jackson | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | J. B. Books | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Empire | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devilnthebluegras | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief’s Thirsty | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roister | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Beets | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Quality Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ridegold | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | G’oro | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ride Elbow Ranch | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hello Kid O Kid O | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turkey Bird | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Dusty | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Chaos | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strawberry Tizzy | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Cat Danzing | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Severe Clear | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | California Rocks | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mperfection | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Silver Flirt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Club Teaser | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.