Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sole Lute | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wish Carefully | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lebombo | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Maker | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abbi Fede | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Start Mo Up | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Play the Trumpet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Explosively | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | String Theory | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Farm Team | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sprint Out Pass | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outdoor Cat | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zinfatuation | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Good News Rocket | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pace Yourself | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Zohere | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Livehappy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Straightaway | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raising Kane | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Cruiser | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Set About | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Passage | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s No Angel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rest of the World | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Funding Source | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Innocent Nyght | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Truthorconsequence | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smarty Pants | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Berryville | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Moonglow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | My Kentucky Lily | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Map to the Stars | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Imperial Gun | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dive Bomber | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon’s Fault | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alston | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Optical | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Master Controller | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lebowski | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Starry Night | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Timayyyy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wartank | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Plensa | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Jackson | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nu What’s New | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thirteen G’s | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maki Monarchy | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Esh | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nyttime Story | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Southern Bullet | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Swirling Eights | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Take Shape | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bette Davis | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Annmarie | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Best Performer | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broughty Ferry | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beau Soleil | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iheartrainacomn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Chablis | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nay V Belle | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tripolina | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Popperina | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Breeze | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapit Quick | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wheelingndealing | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Everyoneloveslinda | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Absinthe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Miss Enchanted | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Obstreperous | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Figure | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Foret | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scattitude | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Antique Silver | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Modern Sound | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carlisle Bay | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Del Mar | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | All About Alice | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Serengeti | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Coaster | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Appeal Denied | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bright Leaf | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kant Beat the Rock | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pay Zone | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Critical Threat | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Sunset | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ready Pursuit | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Improbable Story | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Top Gun Tommy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | One Cool Dude | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Juilliard | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.