Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Otto | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saint No More | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Answer | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swen | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haberdashery | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Katz | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kalinba | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Imperatus | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sponge Time | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | De la Calles | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cryptonym | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Tap Russ | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Plutus | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Garrincha | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | God Is Life | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Ascot | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So So | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Condora | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Demar’s Legacy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carroll’s Honor | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paleo’s Princess | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Lady James | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jokes Up | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Denver’s Alley | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lil Sweezey | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brisa Veloz | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chosen Factor | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liz Loves Shopping | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Granka | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Welcome to America (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sound It Out | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kansai | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Merion Road | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr Narcissistic | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Strike | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Now | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three Zero | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frosty Shop | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ensign Parker | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rough Draft | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hot Cargo | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prancing Spirit | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West Loop | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Ride | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nana’s Corn Muffin | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alas Doradas | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vindicate Cha Cha | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Breezey Bella | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mobou | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speedy Hans | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zozan | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Makizan | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bird Wildcat | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Major King | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lace Up | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Skull | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pirate Radio | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lead Off | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Austonian | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ringside | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Steal Sunshine | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conman | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Gold | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eyes On the King | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ninja Star | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | California Frolic | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Louie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Live to Ride (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Il Marchesse | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Superfight | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Milazzo | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Maestro | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Just Buu | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Try to Make Cents | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frosted Punk | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | El de Tocho | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Artemus Wizard | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empire of Angels | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Lazarus | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.