Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maker’s Flatter | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toast the Ghost | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bold and First | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Is Best | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Diva | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Offshore Account | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Night Striker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Punkin Boy | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Castle Harbour | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miah Said | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Armino | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Thoughts | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Smooth Stone | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lost Star | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Glasweigian | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indy One | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Road to Versailles | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lumberyard | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drop Your Gloves | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tutti Contenti | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Preetzah’s Star | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Summer Commander | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Cohete | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Bourbon | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Next Pitch | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Romance | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cooler Man | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Tourist | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Teaforthetillerman | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Jacobo | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Knight | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pin Boy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sprung Loose | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Earning My Ears | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shinigami | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Vista | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deputy Daddy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Bruce | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jaggersgotagun | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phillip My Wine | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roar of the Crowd | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Decision | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wagner | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ever Dangerous | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Romantic | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blast in the Snow | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coolcollected | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jamiesta | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mason’s Gamble | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rafaroo | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Journeyman | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Palio | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Crusader | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Globecrest | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Run Matteo Run | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blanco | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Tuscan | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yorkton’s Honour | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Michaels Gift | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Thonio | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Golden Truth | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wico (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arabian Prince | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bertani | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Score | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Covey (GB) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Temper | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Crime | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Junior Hot Shot | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Maximus Magic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Your Valentino | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Mustard | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sherif Ali | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ry Pie | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drum Roll Please | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Posturing | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The New Maybe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Frost Bitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.