Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ravenite | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Match Five | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ameliorate | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hopeforgreatness | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Jane | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Byebyejealouseye | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiggy Thunder | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fifth of May | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | We’re Even | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zoppi Fischbein | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Takemetothemoon | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheer Dominance | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dos de Oros | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liberty Runner | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fluff the Pillow | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Real Blues | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Airman Trevor | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | We Miss Neil | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arch Competitor | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redoubtableripken | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Big Shot | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Never Say Never | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Yaco | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play the Gray | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jackson’s Legacy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jadon’s Honor | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Modica | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Boss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Six Whips | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kobe B | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ahsad | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | We Ready | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sleipnir | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Devils Child | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Petulant Delight | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crypt | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Bob | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Distraction | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Stamp | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Instant Vision | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gingersayschill | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bailout Billy | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Stop a Chub | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dourselfafavr | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’ll Say No More | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Justinspeightofit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tap in Formation | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pardsy | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Union Lights | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jebologist | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Superfly | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bargaining Power | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Haleigh B | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Grace | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leftover Sushi | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peach Perfect | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Expect to Be Ready | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Runnin’ Gal | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alma Brilha | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amy Mule | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Hustle | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Copperhead Creek | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Under the Radar | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Youbetterbejoking | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artistic Reason | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sailor’s Return | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cobble Road | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doctor Doom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rockin Freebee | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.