Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brooklynn Drew | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Prayer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Note | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unhidden Gem (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nursekringledances | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spotaway | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Star | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dragon Navy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Givemethebeat | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Topic Thunder | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Estrella Silver | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jaboss | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Tinker Elle | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nuts and Bolts | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Diablo Shiraz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Charcoal Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Busk | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowan | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Turn Up the Trees | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Kelly | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shape Note | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Born Flawless | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday House | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cinnamon Sugar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheekwood | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Pachi | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Light My Flame | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Caroom’s Croupier | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Name Dropper | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond N Dress | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nonstop Vino | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Law and Milloy | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It Ain’t Like That | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Unfaithful Rose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Two Turntables | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarletta Carpetta | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Without a Pout (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Radiance | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hi’iaka | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High South | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Rose | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tap the Champagne | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Plot | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Waltz | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Run Lily | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Will Be | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Devilish Desire | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corman | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Echoes | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air of Defiance | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Motown Star | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Purse Thief | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Probability | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beezer | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Little Blaze | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | De’ Ans Eighty | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Punchy Girl | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vinos Angel | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sombra Dorada | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ghostly Night | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Abitibi | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pharoah’s Wine | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sabalenka | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hamwood Flier (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Speech | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watch This Birdie | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Helm Place | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapakena | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Harbe | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Super Snoop | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keeping the Faith | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Optimistic Income | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Destination | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Gunner | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flambeau | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snook | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Guardian | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.