Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fighting Words | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Paco | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fourty Four | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday Song | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Relentless Raider | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blazing Tyreek | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senor Resplandor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Munchkin | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Eloquence | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Scout | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chucky’s Ride | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Torch | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Instapurchase | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Threat | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Velvet Rage | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divinely Inspired | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Speightfulelection | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Evanora | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dialithic | 1.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holder Close | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Repaynt | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Effort | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kilkenny Bella | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Insurmountable | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Astin Style | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mahovlich | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camp Evans | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luz de Guia | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So So | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Geaux Amy | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady O’Brien | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wonderfulvenezuela | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ask the Monarch | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Spice | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Future Fortune | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tipharah | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Santos to Wilson | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uranium | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dune Road | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Rocket | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bati King | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Self Taught | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Light Fury | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fredo | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Top Box | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit Three Times | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clear Destination | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nerves of Steel | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ironsides | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belly of Jelly | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grayscale | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Latch the Hatch | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Back Em Up | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lawler | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Boss | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Tinmarin | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aero Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Connection | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Done Dirt Cheap | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Fancy Solution | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nipsey | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Game Changer Jolie | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Venezuelan Pride | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Hot | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Make Sense of It | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khozy’s Operetta | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pittaluga | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.