Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Brown Butter Sage |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Her Obsession |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Noyzee Girl |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Our Stella |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blackmarsh |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Holymolymeohmy |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Super Serenade |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Fiery One (GB) |
6.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Ozege |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
This Is Gloria |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Annia Cornificia F |
20.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sweet Cassanova |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Radio Goo Goo |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Under Agreement (FR) |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Summer Snow |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Quiet Maddelena |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blazing Sky |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Souper Pecan |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Gizmo’s B F F |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Ala Turka |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Shamra |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Poetic Amy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Saugerties |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Logistics |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Serenading Amaya |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zipfire |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Purrfect Girl |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mrs. Hot Shot |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pickford Sweet |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
English Jubilee |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Candid Candace |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ladies Rum |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Laughing Out Loud |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gabby Squared |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ghostly Perfection |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Key Stroke |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wild Queenie |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Cloud Rider |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Snatched |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Outforarip |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Secret Plan |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Faultfinder |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Texas Holiday |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Golden Sunset |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Black Dagger |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Stolen |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Galley Head |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Katherine’s Gem |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Addendum |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hard to Capture |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Home for a Rest |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kavala |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Just Magnificent |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mobula |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spellcheck |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vrana (IRE) |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pat’s Holiday |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Design Diva |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Abino Bay |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Baby Lala |
12.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Boujee |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.