Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Street Sue |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Prince of Broadway |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ella Grace |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Louezza |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spitfire |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Love You |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
De La Cruz |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mayor of Midnight (IRE) |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
A Bourbon for Toby |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fateful Lightning |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Royal’s Pride (GB) |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Spun |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1A |
8 |
Bright Angel (IRE) |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
2 |
Extraordinary One (GB) |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
9 |
Scottish Storm |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Marco T. |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Being Betty |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kerry |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Strictly Taboo |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Weekend Rags |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Latest Edition |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Snowy Evening |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Harlan’s Bond |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Beautiful Thief |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Army Gal |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Big Gain |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Papagiorgio |
1.20 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Omey Island |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ragazzo Diabolico |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Houlton |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Timaeus |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
My Last Mission |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cut the Cord |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mighty Atlas |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dr. Kraft |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Palace Boss |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Leftembehind |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
10 |
Discotheque |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
4 |
Cuando |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1A |
7 |
Benny The Waiter (IRE) |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
9 |
Spiced Up |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
1 |
Snare |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Got Stripes |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
5 |
Noguchi |
5.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
3 |
Red Miller |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
6 |
Private Flight |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
2 |
Hot Lead (GB) |
3.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
2B |
12 |
Subito |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
11 |
Zakat |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Work Away |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Feasible |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Julita |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Another Cleeshay |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
That’s Funny |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Twirly |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
She’s Complicated |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Alimara (FR) |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
Gold Lightning |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Bobby Jean |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Tour Jete |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Lina (FR) |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Bernt Again |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Toned Up |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
9 |
Mia Tosca |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
7 |
Warrior’s Ransom |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Bam’s Bliss Kiss |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Delightful Flame |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Linarite |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mendrel |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady d’Oro |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cdakhat (IRE) |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Broadway Lights |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
2 |
Quick Power Nap |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dashing Della |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
La Grotte |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1A |
11 |
I’m Kidding |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.