Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Suremeanttoobe |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mantua Man |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Serendipitymonday |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chimney Sweep |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweetenthedeal |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Long Straw |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Elon |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Silk Suit |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Notion in Motion |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Stanza |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
At First Sight |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Major Houlihan |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Divine Exchange |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Haunted Room |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gold Time Vixen |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Loving Cup |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Mainstream Sellout |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Concrete Faze |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Navani |
12.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nick’s Notion |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Meg |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Krone |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Magic in the Park |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Dead Sexy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Mopo |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Medagooch |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Augustine Red |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
God With Us |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bold Diversion |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Schrader |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rapidity |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bermuda Run |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Fivefive Six Champ |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
6 |
Bode’s Maker |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
2 |
Fightertown |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Alvy |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bill of Rights |
1.40 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
Tom Hagen |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Kendama |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Prince Khozan |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
14 |
Bodecream |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
B Determined |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Yes This Time |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Consultant |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Sell Something |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Sam Stormy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Night Preacher |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Always Fun |
12.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tik Tok Daddy |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Robert’s Moon |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sneaking Suspicion |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Twice Gold |
2.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
16 |
16 |
Maximus Speed |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Box of Rockets |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sir Chance a Lot |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
15 |
15 |
Sharp Red Eagle |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Corrected Pedigree |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Twirling Express |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Gentle Breeze |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
J R Jone Z |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Pallino |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Athletic Star |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Falcon Blue |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tell ‘Em I’m Comin |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Decorum |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bald Cypress |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brightshininglight |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Tankness |
2.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Coringa |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
King’s River |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Roll On Jesse |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carvellian Quest |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mr Jefferson |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Uncle Grey |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Northern Tick Tock |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
The Last Scip |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Thataway |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Magical Mondays |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Fortheloveofrun |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Wrightsville |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
All Fruits Ripe |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Andras |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Musgrave |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brindano |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fiery Debut |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Buthespretty |
30.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Colonel Tully |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.