Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I’m Buzzy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Geez Eloise | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beira | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Ransom | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toned Up | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power and Glory | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stirred Up | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yolo | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kyle’s Mom | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Dinamita | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Contract Law | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snide | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last of My Kind | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aint No Joke | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday Gilt | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arcadian | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sin Nombre | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Masterwork | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Moonracer | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Macaw | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Irish Jackson | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talkin in Cursive | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maggie T | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spiritual Lady | 1.20 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scarborough Fair | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shezanarcticqueen | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goldcrest | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Walley World | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | War Officer | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Four Top | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Trail | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just for Luck | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nostalgic One | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Primed to Go | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Life and Light | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Best Bet | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Catch the Smoke | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Laurel Valley | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (New York Stallion S.) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I’m Due | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friend Ofthe Devil | 0.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River of Time | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Bear | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strobe Light | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soontobeking | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sunshine Dancer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ducky Medwick | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Toscano | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jaa Mode | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Dear Chairman | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Three Captains | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Larry | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Corvus | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Cumberland Blues | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Duboff | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Melody | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Atlas | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | River Tay (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Voce | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Spitfire | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Toxic Girl | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Freud’s Fancy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream On Cara | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eastern Star | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky and Gorgeous | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Margaux Treasure | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rock Harbor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Enigmatic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Runway Lights | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Celestial Express | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Omaha Pistol | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runamor | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Magic | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gorzo | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kings and Queens | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monomoys Partner | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daytona Moonshine | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pistol Hip Sam | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nine N Four | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Running Rio | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Perugia | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Second Chance | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Long Legged Queen | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blossoming Erudite | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Splashy | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Bourbon | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Moonlit Weekend | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mulkey | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | City Blocks | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 10 | I’m Kidding | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Annascaul | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Bourbon Milk Punch | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Virtual | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uncommon | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Classic Cara | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Gunner | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Leslie’s Star | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ocean Rain | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Candy Is Dandy | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Diamondinthesand | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Paraiba Blue | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Bengalese | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 13 | The Taco Lady | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Day Away | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Ragtime Sizzle | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.