Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sleeper Sullivan | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lee’s Baby Boy | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | St Petersburg | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | L Rankin | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Punto Forty | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Moroni | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Evco | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seager Man | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last Call Paul | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maxville | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bazooka Charlie | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Mousse | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | T One D Flour Free | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Kathryn Rose | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ellie Moore (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tom’s Star | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bottom Dollar | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | C Plum Run | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lena Lindgard | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reckless Optimism | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flash That Smile | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King Apollo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Father Delay | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saqeel | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sbagliato | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shortman | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Heat | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Swear Dave | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Danzing Cat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uffda | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Assembled Storm | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gentle Julia | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dallas Alice | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Bonbon | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Borntostaythirsty | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maggie’s Faye | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gianis Girl | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grazen Touch | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I’m a Risque Girl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fly Zapper | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Westport Captain | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naftis | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Service | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spiritist | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uplift | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Six Hot Grands | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Abboudy Run | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mandela Effect | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arteta | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Infamous Angel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Distant Fleet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Oveta’s Hobby | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quantum Innergy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lovin’ On the Run | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Super | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | In the Air Tonight | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Only One America | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Pearls Please | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bertrando S.) – Bertrando S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kings River Knight | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cowboy Mike | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Disrespectful | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freeport Joe | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rodrigoknows | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barely Funtional | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal ‘n Rando | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Supersonic Flyer | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Prancer | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chollima | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of the Track | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Getaway Charm | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Point and Shoot | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Empress | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dance Kid | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rickelle | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | City Glitter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rose of Jericho | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 98 | Pondergating | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.